Friday, September 23, 2011

Grey Ghost Picks for Week 3

Hopefully Week 3 treats the Ghost better than Week 2. As a bonus, I'm also adding a Fantasy related note for each game.

Ghostly predictions in bold.

Patriots at Bills (+8.5)
I think the Bills might sneak into the playoffs this year as a wild card. I don't think they win this game, but I think the Patriots win by a touchdown or less.

Fantasy: With Hernandez out, look for Gronkowski to become even more valuable. Some think Ochocinco will get more looks, but my money is on Gronkowski.

Recap: I was 95% right, but the Bills surprised me with being able to close the deal. Gronkowski is dominating the TE ranks right now. The Bills could be very tough at home - their crowd is a great football crowd.

Broncos at Titans (-6.5)
I don't like the Titans, but I think the Broncos are in disarray.

Fantasy: If Chris Johnson doesn't break out in this game, you have to think about benching him. Anything less than 15 points should be alarming.

Recap: It would have been interesting how this turned out if Kenny Britt didn't go down. Time to bench Chris Johnson until he produces.

Texans at Saints (-4)
The Saints are a different team at home. I think the crowd carries them to a victory.

Fantasy: I can't stand him, but Jimmy Graham looks like a young Jeremy Shockey, all the way down to the constant chatter. Also, pay attention to Mark Ingram and the potential for the fumbles. I know he didn't fumble in college, but something about the way he carries the ball scares me.

Recap: This was a pretty entertaining game, even if Dan Dierdorf was the color man. He's getting awfully close to automatic mute status.

Dolphins at Browns (-3)
I just think the Dolphins are better than the Browns. I don't see Miami being 0-3 after this week.

Fantasy: This one might be a slow day for Hillis. Miami should put ten in the box and test the Browns' passing game.

Recap: Turns out Miami couldn't even beat Cleveland with Hillis out with a throat. It's going to be a long year for Miami in the outrageously competitive AFC East.

Lions at Vikings (+3.5)
I'll keep picking the Lions until they disappoint me. The Lions D-line should be able to control this game.

Fantasy: I think Stafford cools off a little in this game, but he should still be good for 20 points.

Recap: Great Lions win - this is a game they would have lost 30-7 a couple years ago. Came up short on the cover to help the Ghost, but still a good win.

Giants at Eagles (-7)
As long as Vick plays the entire game, this one shouldn't be close.

Fantasy: Look for LeSean McCoy to have a big game. I think the Eagles will want to limit Vick's exposure. Lots of screens and handoffs.

Recap: Great call on McCoy, bad call on the Eagles. What happened to the Eagles vaunted secondary?

Jaguars at Panthers (-3.5)
I'm not sold on the Gabbert era starting in Jacksonville. This one should involve growing pains for the Jags.

Fantasy: I think the ground game gets going for Carolina. Cam Newton can't throw for 400 again.

Recap: The biggest headline about this game was the weather.

Packers at Bears (+3.5)
The Bears seem to always play Green Bay tough and I don't know why. I think the Packers are vastly superior to the Bears.

Fantasy: I think you bench every Bear except Forte this week. I would start every Packer.

Recap: The Bears did somewhat hang in there, but the 10 point margin wasn't indicative of how far apart these teams are. Mr. Saathoff's recent posts regarding the Bears have been right on the money.

Jets at Raiders (+3)
I'll go with the Jets by a touchdown here.

Fantasy: Sanchez might be worth a rare start here.

Recap: Again, great call on Sanchez, terrible call on the Jets.

49ers at Bengals (-3)
I like the 49ers here. Jerome Simpson potentially in jail, Benson potentially suspended soon. There's a lot hanging over the Bengals. If the 49ers get up early, the crowd might turn on the Bengals.

Fantasy: Hopefully this is the Frank Gore game we've been waiting for. I also like Vernon Davis.

Recap: Time to bench Frank Gore on your fantasy team.

Cardinals at Seahawks (+3.5)
I'll take the Seahawks, mostly due to the crowd and the points. This should be a good test on what kind of QB Kolb can be.

Fantasy: Beanie Wells looks good so far, expect a decent game from him, 12-15 points.

Recap: Of course Beanie Wells doesn't play.

Ravens at Rams (+4)
The Ravens are a team that feasts on mistakes, and the Rams sure made plenty of them last week. Expect the Ravens to bounce back from last week.

Fantasy: I wouldn't start any Ram this week. I like the Ravens defense to score in this one.

Recap: The Ravens might be Jekyl and Hyde this season. They should be 3-0.

Steelers at Colts (+10.5)
Week 1 will be a distant memory for the Steelers after this week.

Fantasy: If you can get any value for the Colts you drafted, get it while you can. I don't think any of them are worth keeping.

Recap: The Steelers should be worried. They needed a gift TD from Polamalu to win this game.

Chiefs at Chargers (-14.5)
I think this line is fair enough, I'm just not comfortable believing in Norval Turner. The Chiefs might not win a game this year.

Fantasy: If you can grab Dexter McCluster as a WR in your league, grab him. You can start hin at WR even if he's getting RB work. It will come in handy during your bye weeks.

Recap: Even though they got the W, that's the underachieving Chargers team we know and love.

Falcons at Bucs (-1.5)
Something about Atlanta doesn't seem right yet. I like the Bucs, so hopefully they can take care of business at home.

Fantasy: I like this game for a lot of points. If you have key players on either team, play them.

Recap: Atlanta really looks like they regressed from last year. The Bucs own the book on winning ugly.

Redskins at Cowboys (-4)
I think the Cowboys at home should be able to handle the Redskins. We'll see what Romo looks like.

Fantasy: I'd bench Romo this week as a precaution. If they get ahead early, they shouldn't be throwing the ball.

Recap: The Redskins should be pretty competitive this year. If Good Rex shows up more frequently than Bad Rex, they'll surprise some teams. That said, the Cowboys only had Witten and Jones as legitimate weapons and still won.

Week 3 Record: 9-7
Season Record: 14-17-1

1 comment:

jeff saathoff said...

Well Written, the only thing I disagree with is the Dolphins and Seahaks